Justin Buchholz vs Terry Etim
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-11-0Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Terry Etim is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Justin Buchholz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1545
If they lose-10→ 1521
If they win+13→ 1604
If they lose-19→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin BuchholzTerry Etim
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Terry Etim58%
Justin Buchholz 42%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Terry Etim a 58% favorite over Justin Buchholz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Terry Etim holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1591 to 1531, a 60-point edge.
Justin Buchholz finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Terry Etim 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.