Justin Buchholz vs Tomáš Galko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-11-0Record2-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1543
If they lose-12→ 1519
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin BuchholzTomáš Galko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tomáš Galko54%
Justin Buchholz 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Galko a 54% favorite over Justin Buchholz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1533), separated by just 2 points.
Tomáš Galko enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Justin Buchholz finishes 93% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.