Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Buchholz vs Yazid Chouchane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-11-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach68"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
IndependentTeamGP Sports Miramas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin BuchholzNow 1531
If they win+12→ 1543
If they lose-12→ 1519
Yazid ChouchaneNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.79
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin BuchholzYazid Chouchane
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
6 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

Yazid Chouchane62%
Justin Buchholz 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yazid Chouchane a 62% favorite over Justin Buchholz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1533), separated by just 2 points.

Justin Buchholz finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Yazid Chouchane 18%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.