Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Burlinson vs Kyle Stewart

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
41,0"Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Dungeon BJJ and MMA AcademyTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin BurlinsonNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Kyle StewartNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.24
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
40%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
62%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
1.32
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
100%
Takedown defense
60%
9.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin BurlinsonKyle Stewart
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
6 (75%)
Submission
3 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Burlinson63%
Kyle Stewart 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Burlinson a 63% favorite over Kyle Stewart in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Justin Burlinson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Stewart 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.