Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Burlinson vs Nordine Taleb

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record15-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach74,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin BurlinsonNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Nordine TalebNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
40%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
62%
Strike defense
67%
0
Takedown avg.
1.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
76%
100%
Takedown defense
74%
9.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin BurlinsonNordine Taleb
16001650170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
8 (80%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Burlinson66%
Nordine Taleb 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Burlinson a 66% favorite over Nordine Taleb in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Justin Burlinson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nordine Taleb 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.