Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Burlinson vs Ronald Paradeiser

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin BurlinsonNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Ronald ParadeiserNow 1653
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
9.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin BurlinsonRonald Paradeiser
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
14 (61%)
8 (80%)
Submission
3 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronald Paradeiser53%
Justin Burlinson 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Paradeiser a 53% favorite over Justin Burlinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ronald Paradeiser enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Burlinson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Paradeiser 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.