Justin Burlinson vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
41,0"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
The Dungeon BJJ and MMA AcademyTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin BurlinsonTymoteusz Łopaczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tymoteusz Łopaczyk51%
Justin Burlinson 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 51% favorite over Justin Burlinson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Burlinson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.
Justin Burlinson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Justin Burlinson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.