Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Burlinson vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0 Record 14-4-0
Welterweight Division Welterweight
6'1" Height 5'9"
41,0" Reach 73"
170 lbs Weight 171 lbs
The Dungeon BJJ and MMA Academy Team WCA Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin BurlinsonNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

1.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
9.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin Burlinson Tymoteusz Łopaczyk
1600 1650 2023 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
6 (75%)
Submission
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk56%
Justin Burlinson44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 56% favorite over Justin Burlinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Justin Burlinson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.