Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Davis vs Taisei Mizusugi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Davis
us

Justin Davis

“Show-Off”

0-1-0LightweightDH

1431Developing

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record6-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Dark Horse GymTeamblooM

What's at stake

Taisei Mizusugi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Justin Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Justin DavisNow 1431
If they win+18→ 1449
If they lose-14→ 1417
Taisei MizusugiNow 1470
If they win+14→ 1484
If they lose-18→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin DavisTaisei Mizusugi
1400145015002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Taisei Mizusugi82%
Justin Davis 18%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 82% favorite over Justin Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Taisei Mizusugi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1470 to 1431, a 39-point edge.

Taisei Mizusugi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.