Justin Edwards vs Ramsey Nijem
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record10-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamSkrap Pack
What's at stake
Justin Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ramsey Nijem carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1590
If they lose-19→ 1558
If they win+19→ 1536
If they lose-13→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin EdwardsRamsey Nijem
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Edwards58%
Ramsey Nijem 42%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Edwards a 58% favorite over Ramsey Nijem in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Justin Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1577 to 1517, a 60-point edge.
Ramsey Nijem enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Justin Edwards finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Ramsey Nijem 50%.
Justin Edwards and Ramsey Nijem share 1 common opponent: Joe Proctor.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.