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Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Edwards vs Ramsey Nijem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record10-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamSkrap Pack

What's at stake

Justin Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ramsey Nijem carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Justin EdwardsNow 1577
If they win+13→ 1590
If they lose-19→ 1558
Ramsey NijemNow 1508
If they win+19→ 1527
If they lose-13→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
3.05
42%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
51%
Strike defense
63%
2.14
Takedown avg.
5.32
27%
Takedown accuracy
63%
27%
Takedown defense
56%
0.97
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Justin EdwardsRamsey Nijem
15001550160020172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
8 (80%)
Submission
2 (20%)
1 (10%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ramsey Nijem51%
Justin Edwards 49%Elo baseline: 40%

The Combat Edge model makes Ramsey Nijem a 51% favorite over Justin Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Edwards's way (40%).

Justin Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1577 to 1508, a 69-point edge.

Ramsey Nijem enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Justin Edwards finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Ramsey Nijem 50%.

Justin Edwards and Ramsey Nijem share 1 common opponent: Joe Proctor.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Power Guillotine Choke · 2015
Joe Proctor
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2012