Justin Eilers vs Lazar Todev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-1Record14-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
235 lbsWeight241 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamTiger Sportakademie
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin EilersLazar Todev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lazar Todev60%
Justin Eilers 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lazar Todev a 60% favorite over Justin Eilers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.
Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Justin Eilers finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Lazar Todev 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.