Justin Eilers vs Mike Kyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-1Record23-19-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
235 lbsWeight220 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Justin Eilers is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mike Kyle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-8→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin EilersMike Kyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Eilers75%
Mike Kyle 25%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Eilers a 75% favorite over Mike Kyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Justin Eilers holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1555, a 111-point edge.
Mike Kyle enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Justin Eilers finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Mike Kyle 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.