Justin Eilers vs Paul Buentello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-1Record35-17-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
235 lbsWeight205 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamGrudge Training Center
What's at stake
Justin Eilers is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Paul Buentello carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1677
If they lose-13→ 1653
If they win+13→ 1656
If they lose-11→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin EilersPaul Buentello
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Eilers51%
Paul Buentello 49%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Eilers a 51% favorite over Paul Buentello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Justin Eilers holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1643, a 23-point edge.
Justin Eilers finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Paul Buentello 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.