Justin Frazier vs Scott Ferrozzo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record4-2-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
281 lbsWeight323 lbs
Without Limits MMATeamTBD
What's at stake
Justin Frazier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Scott Ferrozzo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1629
If they lose-19→ 1597
If they win+29→ 1578
If they lose-19→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin FrazierScott Ferrozzo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Frazier60%
Scott Ferrozzo 40%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Frazier a 60% favorite over Scott Ferrozzo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Justin Frazier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1549, a 67-point edge.
Justin Frazier finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Scott Ferrozzo 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.