Justin Gonzales vs Nika Kobakhidze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record8-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Top Notch MMATeamUS Metro Bizot· 1560 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin GonzalesNika Kobakhidze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Gonzales59%
Nika Kobakhidze 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Gonzales a 59% favorite over Nika Kobakhidze in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nika Kobakhidze's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.
Justin Gonzales enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Nika Kobakhidze enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Justin Gonzales finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Nika Kobakhidze 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.