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Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Guthrie vs Khanbulat Irisbiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record3-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Colorado Fight FactoryTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin GuthrieNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Khanbulat IrisbievNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.78
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
59%
Strike accuracy
Not available
7.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
52%
Strike defense
Not available
0.11
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
75%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Justin GuthrieKhanbulat Irisbiev
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
7 (39%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (33%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Guthrie53%
Khanbulat Irisbiev 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Guthrie a 53% favorite over Khanbulat Irisbiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1575), separated by just 0 points.

Khanbulat Irisbiev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Justin Guthrie finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Khanbulat Irisbiev 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.