Justin Guthrie vs Mikail Bayram
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Colorado Fight FactoryTeamYOFOX
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin GuthrieMikail Bayram
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Guthrie63%
Mikail Bayram 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Guthrie a 63% favorite over Mikail Bayram in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1575), separated by just 0 points.
Mikail Bayram enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Justin Guthrie finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mikail Bayram 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.