Justin Guthrie vs Trukon Carson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Colorado Fight FactoryTeamGym-O
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin GuthrieTrukon Carson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trukon Carson66%
Justin Guthrie 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trukon Carson a 66% favorite over Justin Guthrie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Guthrie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1574), separated by just 1 points.
Justin Guthrie finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Trukon Carson 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.