Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin James vs Melvin Guillard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Justin James
us

Justin James

“Pretty Boy”

13-7-0LightweightKOTC

1520Average
Melvin Guillard
us

Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1521Average

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record32-22-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamGenesis Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin JamesNow 1520
If they win+24→ 1544
If they lose-24→ 1496
Melvin GuillardNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.34
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
36%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
50%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
1.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
64%
50%
Takedown defense
61%
1.55
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Justin JamesMelvin Guillard
150015502007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
21 (66%)
7 (54%)
Submission
2 (6%)
1 (8%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin James61%
Melvin Guillard 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin James a 61% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melvin Guillard's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1520 vs 1521), separated by just 1 points.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Justin James finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.