Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Ledet vs Mark Godbeer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Justin Ledet
us

Justin Ledet

“El Blanco”

9-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1602Solid
Mark Godbeer

Mark Godbeer

“The Hand of”

13-5-0HeavyweightACA

1588Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record13-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReach44,0"
205 lbsWeight245 lbs
TBDTeamScottish Hit Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin LedetNow 1602
If they win+15→ 1617
If they lose-17→ 1585
Mark GodbeerNow 1588
If they win+17→ 1605
If they lose-15→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
39%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
49%
Strike defense
54%
0.23
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
43%
Takedown defense
29%
0.23
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin LedetMark Godbeer
1600165017002017201820192020

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
5 (56%)
Submission
2 (17%)
2 (22%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Ledet60%
Mark Godbeer 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Ledet a 60% favorite over Mark Godbeer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1588), separated by just 14 points.

Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Mark Godbeer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Justin Ledet finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mark Godbeer 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.