Justin Ledet vs Mirza Hopovac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record4-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight204 lbs
Team613 Fight Factory· 1600 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin LedetMirza Hopovac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Ledet56%
Mirza Hopovac 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Ledet a 56% favorite over Mirza Hopovac in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mirza Hopovac's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1606), separated by just 3 points.
Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mirza Hopovac enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Justin Ledet finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mirza Hopovac 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.