Justin Ledet vs Rafael Xavier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin LedetRafael Xavier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Xavier66%
Justin Ledet 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Xavier a 66% favorite over Justin Ledet in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Ledet's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Justin Ledet finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Xavier 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.