Justin Ledet vs Roland Dunlap
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin LedetRoland Dunlap
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roland Dunlap84%
Justin Ledet 16%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Roland Dunlap a 84% favorite over Justin Ledet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1607), separated by just 5 points.
Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Justin Ledet finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Roland Dunlap 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.