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Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Ledet vs Sedriques Dumas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Ledet
us

Justin Ledet

“El Blanco”

9-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin LedetNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Sedriques DumasNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
1.97
39%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
49%
Strike defense
53%
0.23
Takedown avg.
1.30
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
43%
Takedown defense
33%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Justin LedetSedriques Dumas
16001650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
5 (56%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (22%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Sedriques Dumas64%
Justin Ledet 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sedriques Dumas a 64% favorite over Justin Ledet in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Ledet's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1602), separated by just 1 points.

Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Justin Ledet finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.