Justin Levens vs Marcio Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-8-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
CSWTeamBonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Marcio Cabral is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Justin Levens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1500
If they lose-15→ 1468
If they win+23→ 1522
If they lose-25→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin LevensMarcio Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Cabral75%
Justin Levens 25%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 75% favorite over Justin Levens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Marcio Cabral holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1499 to 1483, a 16-point edge.
Justin Levens enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Justin Levens finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cabral 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.