Justin Martin vs Sam Fournier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record2-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1485
If they lose-24→ 1437
If they win+24→ 1484
If they lose-24→ 1436
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin MartinSam Fournier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Fournier55%
Justin Martin 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Fournier a 55% favorite over Justin Martin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Martin's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1461 vs 1460), separated by just 1 points.
Sam Fournier enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Justin Martin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.