Justin McCully vs Marcus Buchecha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-5-2Record5-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach80"
235 lbsWeight254 lbs
Team PunishmentTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin McCullyMarcus Buchecha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus Buchecha72%
Justin McCully 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Buchecha a 72% favorite over Justin McCully in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin McCully's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.
Justin McCully enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Justin McCully finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Buchecha 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.