Justin McElfresh vs Kyle Clark
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record2-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1532
If they lose-16→ 1500
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin McElfreshKyle Clark
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Clark69%
Justin McElfresh 31%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Clark a 69% favorite over Justin McElfresh in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin McElfresh's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1509), separated by just 7 points.
Justin McElfresh finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.