Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin McElfresh vs Predrag Božović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamMMA Team Zabjelo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin McElfreshNow 1516
If they win+16→ 1532
If they lose-16→ 1500
Predrag BožovićNow 1526
If they win+23→ 1549
If they lose-25→ 1501

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
12.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin McElfreshPredrag Božović
15001550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Predrag Božović60%
Justin McElfresh 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Predrag Božović a 60% favorite over Justin McElfresh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1526), separated by just 10 points.

Justin McElfresh finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.