Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin McElfresh vs Reed Parrish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record0-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight245 lbs
TeamKratos Athletic Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin McElfreshNow 1516
If they win+17→ 1533
If they lose-15→ 1501
Reed ParrishNow 1529
If they win+23→ 1552
If they lose-25→ 1504

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
12.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin McElfreshReed Parrish
15001550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Reed Parrish70%
Justin McElfresh 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Reed Parrish a 70% favorite over Justin McElfresh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1529), separated by just 13 points.

Justin McElfresh finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.