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Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Pennington vs Luke Martin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luke Martin
us

Luke Martin

“The Martian”

2-1-0BantamweightFFC

1499Average

Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record2-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Lebanon Catch Wrestling ClubTeamStout PGH

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin PenningtonNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
Luke MartinNow 1499
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Justin PenningtonLuke Martin
145015002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Submission
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Martin63%
Justin Pennington 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Martin a 63% favorite over Justin Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1499), separated by just 1 points.

Justin Pennington finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.