Justin Pennington vs Sebastian Polanco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record3-3-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lebanon Catch Wrestling ClubTeamDemon Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin PenningtonSebastian Polanco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sebastian Polanco59%
Justin Pennington 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sebastian Polanco a 59% favorite over Justin Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1501), separated by just 3 points.
Sebastian Polanco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Pennington finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Polanco 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.