Justin Pennington vs Shunichi Shimizu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record35-28-10
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lebanon Catch Wrestling ClubTeamPolar Gym Osaka
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
If they win+12→ 1513
If they lose-12→ 1489
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin PenningtonShunichi Shimizu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Pennington66%
Shunichi Shimizu 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Pennington a 66% favorite over Shunichi Shimizu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shunichi Shimizu's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1498 vs 1501), separated by just 3 points.
Justin Pennington finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shunichi Shimizu 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.