Justin Robbins vs Kyohei Hagiwara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-19-1Record9-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'10"
TBDReach71.1"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Finney's HIT SquadTeamTeam Smoker
What's at stake
Kyohei Hagiwara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Justin Robbins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1417
If they lose-9→ 1393
If they win+12→ 1492
If they lose-20→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin RobbinsKyohei Hagiwara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyohei Hagiwara83%
Justin Robbins 17%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Hagiwara a 83% favorite over Justin Robbins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Kyohei Hagiwara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1480 to 1402, a 78-point edge.
Justin Robbins enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Justin Robbins finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kyohei Hagiwara 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.