Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Salas vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record24-11-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

Thiago Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Justin Salas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Justin SalasNow 1593
If they win+18→ 1611
If they lose-14→ 1579
Thiago TavaresNow 1645
If they win+10→ 1655
If they lose-14→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
2
43%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
69%
Strike defense
63%
2.43
Takedown avg.
3.83
21%
Takedown accuracy
43%
0%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Justin SalasThiago Tavares
1600165020142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
3 (25%)
Submission
15 (63%)
5 (42%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Tavares67%
Justin Salas 33%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 67% favorite over Justin Salas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Thiago Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1593, a 52-point edge.

Justin Salas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Salas finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.