Justin Salas vs Thiago Tavares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record24-11-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamTeam Tavares
What's at stake
Thiago Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Justin Salas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1611
If they lose-14→ 1579
If they win+10→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin SalasThiago Tavares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Tavares72%
Justin Salas 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 72% favorite over Justin Salas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Thiago Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1593, a 53-point edge.
Justin Salas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Salas finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.