Justin Salas vs Tim Means
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record33-17-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamFit NHB· 1621 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Tim Means is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Justin Salas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1611
If they lose-14→ 1579
If they win+10→ 1655
If they lose-14→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin SalasTim Means
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Means73%
Justin Salas 27%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Means a 73% favorite over Justin Salas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Tim Means holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1593, a 52-point edge.
Justin Salas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Salas finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.