Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Scoggins vs Malik Basahel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record4-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
66,0"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Revolution Mixed Martial ArtsTeamAsylum Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin ScogginsNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Malik BasahelNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
3.42
Takedown avg.
TBD
64%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.45
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Justin ScogginsMalik Basahel
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
2 (13%)
Submission
1 (25%)
6 (40%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Malik Basahel85%
Justin Scoggins 15%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Malik Basahel a 85% favorite over Justin Scoggins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Scoggins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1616), separated by just 3 points.

Malik Basahel enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Justin Scoggins finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Malik Basahel 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.