Justin Scoggins vs Pedro Munhoz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record20-10-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
66,0"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Revolution Mixed Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Pedro Munhoz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Justin Scoggins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1638
If they lose-13→ 1606
If they win+9→ 1705
If they lose-15→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin ScogginsPedro Munhoz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Munhoz53%
Justin Scoggins 47%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Munhoz a 53% favorite over Justin Scoggins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Pedro Munhoz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1619, a 77-point edge.
Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Justin Scoggins finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Munhoz 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.