Justin Scoggins vs Ray Borg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record16-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
66,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Revolution Mixed Martial ArtsTeamJackson's MMA Acoma
What's at stake
Ray Borg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Justin Scoggins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1639
If they lose-11→ 1607
If they win+11→ 1751
If they lose-21→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin ScogginsRay Borg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ray Borg69%
Justin Scoggins 31%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Ray Borg a 69% favorite over Justin Scoggins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Ray Borg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1618, a 122-point edge.
Ray Borg enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Justin Scoggins finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ray Borg 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.