Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Scoggins vs Will Campuzano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record14-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
66,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Revolution Mixed Martial ArtsTeamCampuzano Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin ScogginsNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Will CampuzanoNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.43
52%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
56%
Strike defense
57%
3.42
Takedown avg.
0.88
64%
Takedown accuracy
45%
83%
Takedown defense
48%
0.45
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Justin ScogginsWill Campuzano
16001650201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
2 (13%)
Submission
4 (29%)
6 (40%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Scoggins52%
Will Campuzano 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Scoggins a 52% favorite over Will Campuzano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Will Campuzano's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1623), separated by just 4 points.

Justin Scoggins finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Will Campuzano 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.