Justin Sumter vs Luis Melendez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record1-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
80,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Fighting Arts Academy CTTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin SumterLuis Melendez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Sumter52%
Luis Melendez 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Sumter a 52% favorite over Luis Melendez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1551), separated by just 1 points.
Luis Melendez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Justin Sumter finishes 78% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.