Justin Sumter vs Marcos Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record10-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
80,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fighting Arts Academy CTTeamFarao Nauas Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin SumterMarcos Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Silva55%
Justin Sumter 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Silva a 55% favorite over Justin Sumter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1553), separated by just 1 points.
Justin Sumter finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Silva 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.