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Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Tafa vs Szymon Bajor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Tafa
au

Justin Tafa

“Bad Man”

7-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record26-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight241 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin TafaNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Szymon BajorNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.05
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
53%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Justin TafaSzymon Bajor
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
11 (42%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (35%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Szymon Bajor55%
Justin Tafa 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Szymon Bajor a 55% favorite over Justin Tafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Szymon Bajor 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.