Justin Tafa vs Tallison Teixeira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record9-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'7"
74"Reach83"
265 lbsWeight258 lbs
NTG Fight & FitnessTeamMaquininha do Futuro
What's at stake
Tallison Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Justin Tafa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1627
If they lose-13→ 1595
If they win+13→ 1685
If they lose-19→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin TafaTallison Teixeira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tallison Teixeira73%
Justin Tafa 27%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Tallison Teixeira a 73% favorite over Justin Tafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Tallison Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1608, a 64-point edge.
Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tallison Teixeira 89%.
Tallison Teixeira carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.