Justin Tafa vs Zach Nishimwe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach-
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
NTG Fight & FitnessTeamPort City Combat Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin TafaZach Nishimwe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Nishimwe66%
Justin Tafa 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Nishimwe a 66% favorite over Justin Tafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1612), separated by just 4 points.
Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Zach Nishimwe enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Justin Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zach Nishimwe 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.