Justin Wetzell vs Lawrence Lui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin WetzellLawrence Lui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Wetzell52%
Lawrence Lui 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Wetzell a 52% favorite over Lawrence Lui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.
Justin Wetzell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lawrence Lui enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Justin Wetzell finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Lawrence Lui 50%.
Lawrence Lui carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.