Justin Willis vs Marcin Wójcik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record22-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
41,0"Reach73.2"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGLD Team Pila
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin WillisMarcin Wójcik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Wójcik69%
Justin Willis 31%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Wójcik a 69% favorite over Justin Willis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1663), separated by just 4 points.
Marcin Wójcik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Willis finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Wójcik 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.