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Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Wren vs Khadis Ibragimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Justin Wren
us

Justin Wren

“The Big Pygmy”

13-2-0HeavyweightBFC

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record11-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach78"
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamSambo Piter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin WrenNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Khadis IbragimovNow 1648
If they win+12→ 1660
If they lose-12→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
11%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.26
64%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0.97
0%
Takedown accuracy
30%
100%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Justin WrenKhadis Ibragimov
165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (23%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Khadis Ibragimov72%
Justin Wren 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khadis Ibragimov a 72% favorite over Justin Wren in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Wren's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1648), separated by just 0 points.

Justin Wren enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Khadis Ibragimov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Wren finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Khadis Ibragimov 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.