Combat Edge Intelligence

Justine Kish vs Nina Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Nina Nunes
us

Nina Nunes

“The Strina”

11-7-0FlyweightUFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record11-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReach64"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Black HouseTeamLioness Studio

What's at stake

Nina Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Justine Kish carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Justine KishNow 1569
If they win+17→ 1586
If they lose-15→ 1554
Nina NunesNow 1589
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-17→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.51
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
48%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
58%
Strike defense
56%
0.87
Takedown avg.
0.24
33%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
74%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Justine KishNina Nunes
15501600202120222023

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
2 (22%)
Submission
2 (18%)
7 (78%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Justine Kish52%
Nina Nunes 48%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Justine Kish a 52% favorite over Nina Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nina Nunes's way (47%).

Nina Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1569, a 20-point edge.

Justine Kish finishes 22% of wins inside the distance, Nina Nunes 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.