Jutaro Nakao vs Magomed Umalov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-21-4Record2-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jutaro Nakao MMA SchoolTeamFree Fight Academy· 1536 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1546
If they lose-12→ 1522
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jutaro NakaoMagomed Umalov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Umalov54%
Jutaro Nakao 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Umalov a 54% favorite over Jutaro Nakao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1537), separated by just 3 points.
Jutaro Nakao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Magomed Umalov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jutaro Nakao finishes 81% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.