Jutaro Nakao vs Nonato Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-21-4Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Jutaro Nakao MMA SchoolTeamGameness Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1545
If they lose-12→ 1521
If they win+12→ 1544
If they lose-12→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jutaro NakaoNonato Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nonato Junior63%
Jutaro Nakao 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 63% favorite over Jutaro Nakao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jutaro Nakao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1532), separated by just 1 points.
Jutaro Nakao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jutaro Nakao finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.